Osasuna vs Levante Prediction

Osasuna host Levante at El Sadar on Monday, August 24. For this match, our selection is Osasuna or Draw (1X) + Over 1.5 total goals.

The combination gives us protection against a draw while requiring only two goals, and recent meetings between these teams provide good statistical support.

🔴 El Sadar strengthens the 1X

The strongest argument for the double chance is the previous meeting at this stadium.

In December 2025:

Osasuna 2–0 Levante

Osasuna produced 14 shots, six on target and three corners, while Levante had 11 attempts and five on target. Osasuna therefore won while still allowing Levante enough attacking involvement to create chances.

That result is particularly relevant because the circumstances are similar: Osasuna will again have the advantage of playing at El Sadar, where we expect them to be much more comfortable than Levante.

We don't need Osasuna to win. A 1–1 draw is enough for our selection.

⚽ Recent H2H strongly supports Over 1.5

Both La Liga meetings last season comfortably reached the two-goal requirement:

Osasuna 2–0 Levante — 2 goals

Levante 3–2 Osasuna — 5 goals

That means Over 1.5 landed in both 2025/26 meetings.

The second game was especially interesting. Osasuna actually went 2–0 ahead inside 11 minutes, before Levante recovered to win 3–2 with a 90th-minute goal.

There was an important context behind that comeback: Osasuna goalkeeper Sergio Herrera was sent off just before halftime, leaving Osasuna to play the second half with ten men.

So while the final 3–2 looks negative for our 1X selection, Osasuna had established a two-goal advantage away from home before the red card changed the match.

📊 Five goals in the last meeting

The numbers from that 3–2 were extremely aggressive after the game changed:

- 5 total goals

- Levante: 35 shots

- Osasuna: 5 shots

- 16 total corners

- Levante: 15 corners

- Five big chances for Levante

Osasuna were forced into a defensive position after the sending-off, which explains much of the statistical imbalance.

For our bet, the important point is that the two teams have already shown multiple routes to reaching two goals.

🏠 Osasuna arrive with extra preparation

Osasuna's scheduled opening league fixture against Celta was postponed, giving the team additional preparation before facing Levante. They played a friendly against Arenas instead, drawing 1–1, with Catena scoring from a corner.

That means another recent Osasuna match also reached the Over 1.5 threshold.

The home side will now make its league debut at El Sadar, and the additional preparation reinforces our preference for protecting Osasuna rather than backing Levante outright.

🎯 Final Prediction

The recent H2H gives us a strong foundation:

Osasuna 2–0 Levante

Levante 3–2 Osasuna

That's 7 goals across the two meetings, with Over 1.5 landing in both.

Osasuna also led 2–0 away from home in the most recent encounter before the red card dramatically changed the match. Now the fixture moves back to El Sadar, where Osasuna won the previous meeting 2–0.

We don't need a high-scoring game. 1–1 or any Osasuna victory containing at least two total goals is enough.

🎯 Prediction: Osasuna or Draw (1X) + Over 1.5 Goals

💰 Odds: 1.62