UNL B
UEFA Nations League BMatchday 1
Sep 24, 2026 · 20:45League local timeRaiffeisen Arena, Linz
AUSAustria
VS
ISRIsrael
Match Analysis

Austria vs Israel Prediction, Odds and Betting tips

Published: September 20, 2026Updated: September 20, 2026Our methodology

Austria vs Israel meet in UEFA Nations League B, Matchday 1 at Raiffeisen Arena, Linz on 2026-09-24 at 20:45. This preview reviews the statistical and form context behind the pick; the prediction and published odds are shown directly on the page.

Match Context

Competition
UEFA Nations League B
Round
Matchday 1
Date
2026-09-24
Local time
20:45
Venue
Raiffeisen Arena, Linz

Sources: UEFA — 2026/27 Nations League fixtures; Israel Football Association — September Nations League squad; ORF — Austria Nations League squad

Austria vs Israel Probable Lineups

Pre-match projection; check the official team sheets close to kickoff.

Austria (4-2-3-1)

  1. Schlager
  2. Posch
  3. Danso
  4. Lienhart
  5. Mwene
  6. Seiwald
  7. Laimer
  8. Wimmer
  9. Schmid
  10. Prass
  11. Gregoritsch.

Israel (4-2-3-1)

  1. Daniel Peretz
  2. Dasa
  3. Nachmias
  4. Raz Shlomo
  5. Revivo
  6. Abu Fani
  7. Dor Peretz
  8. Abada
  9. Gloukh
  10. Solomon
  11. Baribo.

Sources: Israel Football Association — September Nations League squad

Statistical Core Predictions-Sports-Prime

Sample: Published Statistical Core; sample sizes and caveats are shown per row

MetricAustriaIsrael
Current indicatorAustriaIsrael
Nations League B3 record0-0-00-0-0
Major squad changesAlaba and Sabitzer absent27-man squad named 17 Sep
Main creatorsWanner, Schmid, WimmerGloukh, Solomon, Abada
H2H record6 wins3 wins
H2H draws-4

Sources: UEFA — 2026/27 Nations League fixtures; Israel Football Association — September Nations League squad; ORF — Austria Nations League squad

Austria vs Israel Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Prediction: Austria to Win @ 1.40; Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.55 Odds: 1.40 / 1.55 (separate markets)

Venue/location: Raiffeisen Arena, Linz

Team news, availability and recent form

Austria begin Group B3 at home with a squad that is noticeably different from the one many supporters associate with the last major tournament cycle. The current group includes Alexander Schlager, Lukas Jungwirth, Florian Wiegele and Christian Zawieschitzky in goal; David Affengruber, Felix Bacher, Kevin Danso, Marco Friedl, Philipp Lienhart, Phillipp Mwene, Stefan Posch, Alexander Prass, Nikolas Veratschnig and Maximilian Wöber in defence; and a midfield/attacking group featuring Konrad Laimer, Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Romano Schmid, Patrick Wimmer, Paul Wanner, Carney Chukwuemeka, Christoph Lang, Junior Adamu, Michael Gregoritsch, Marco Grüll and Sasa Kalajdzic.

David Alaba is not part of this window and Marcel Sabitzer is also absent, so Austria lose two of their most experienced names. Even with those absences, the spine remains strong: Danso and Lienhart offer top-level centre-back experience, Seiwald and Laimer give the midfield intensity, while Gregoritsch, Kalajdzic, Wimmer and Wanner provide several different attacking profiles. The four-match international window also makes rotation a genuine consideration, particularly with Kosovo following three days later.

Austria's 2026 sequence has contained both very strong and difficult periods. Before and during the World Cup cycle they recorded wins over Ghana, South Korea, Tunisia and Jordan, while the summer tournament also produced a 3-3 draw with Algeria and defeats against Argentina and Spain. The 3-0 loss to Spain ended their World Cup run, but it does not erase how effectively Austria can press and create territorial pressure against opponents who struggle to play through midfield.

Israel arrive with a 27-man squad named by Ran Ben Shimon on 17 September. Daniel Peretz, Omri Glazer and Assaf Tzur are the goalkeepers. Eli Dasa, Guy Mizrahi, Roy Revivo, Anan Khalaili, Idan Nachmias, Ilay Feingold, Raz Shlomo, Nikita Stoyanov and Noam Stiefman are among the defensive options. The midfield and attack include Oscar Gloukh, Gabi Kanichowsky, Dor Peretz, Omri Gandelman, Mohammad Abu Fani, Manor Solomon, Liel Abada, Tai Baribo, Dor Turgeman, Idan Toklomati, Yarden Shua and Saied Abu Farchi.

Israel's technical ceiling is obvious around Gloukh and Solomon, and the wide threat from Abada can punish a full-back who steps too aggressively. Their recent 2026 results include a 2-2 draw with Georgia and a 1-0 win over Albania. The bigger question in Austria is whether Israel can play through the first and second Austrian pressing lines consistently enough to prevent long spells without the ball.

Projected lineups

Projected Austria XI (4-2-3-1): Schlager; Posch, Danso, Lienhart, Mwene; Seiwald, Laimer; Wimmer, Schmid, Prass; Gregoritsch. Possible changes: Xaver Schlager can alter the midfield balance, Wanner offers more invention between the lines and Kalajdzic provides a different penalty-area target.

Projected Israel XI (4-2-3-1): Daniel Peretz; Dasa, Nachmias, Raz Shlomo, Revivo; Abu Fani, Dor Peretz; Abada, Gloukh, Solomon; Baribo. Possible changes: Turgeman can lead the line, Gandelman can add height and midfield running, while Khalaili can be used higher or deeper depending on the structure.

Head-to-head and tactical analysis

The H2H is unusually relevant because the recent meetings were open. Across 13 senior meetings Austria have six wins, Israel three and there have been four draws. The four competitive meetings in 2019 and 2021 produced 4-2, 3-1, 5-2 and 4-2 scorelines, with both teams scoring and at least four total goals in each. Those games belong to previous squads and should not be treated as a forecast, but they do show that this matchup has repeatedly created space rather than becoming a low-event tactical stalemate.

Austria should expect more possession at home, but the most interesting part of the matchup is what happens after turnovers. Israel have enough pace and technique to counter, which means Austria's rest defence around Seiwald, Laimer and the centre-backs matters as much as their attacking volume. At the other end, Austria's ability to attack the box with multiple bodies can test an Israeli defence that may be forced to defend crosses, cut-backs and second balls for long periods.

Statistical coverage is partial because the 2026/27 competition has not started. A complete 22/22 Statistical Core, including current HOME/AWAY xG, xGA, shots, shots on target, possession and corners, is unavailable; unavailable target metrics remain unavailable rather than being estimated. The sourced rows below preserve the package's current squad, schedule, recent-form and H2H context.

Current indicatorAustriaIsrael
Nations League B3 record0-0-00-0-0
Major squad changesAlaba and Sabitzer absent27-man squad named 17 Sep
Main creatorsWanner, Schmid, WimmerGloukh, Solomon, Abada
H2H record6 wins3 wins
H2H draws-4

Market price and value

Israel's combination of Gloukh, Solomon and Abada is the clearest threat to both selections: one clean counter can challenge Austria's win case even if the overall match still reaches two goals.

The markets are priced separately. At 1.40, the raw implied probability is 71.4% because 1 / 1.40 = 0.714; at 1.55, it is 64.5% because 1 / 1.55 = 0.645, before bookmaker margin. Neither figure is a historical frequency or a guarantee. The value judgement depends on Austria sustaining pressure without giving Israel repeated transition opportunities.

Conclusion

Austria's pressing depth and penalty-area options make the home win the primary selection, while the separate over 1.5 market reflects the open transition potential shown by this matchup. The two prices remain distinct markets on this single page.

Prediction: Austria to Win @ 1.40; Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.55 Odds: 1.40 / 1.55

Sources & Data

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