NFL

2026 NFL Season

NFL Week 5 Predictions

Weekly NFL picks and predictions with game analysis, kickoff and stadium details, published odds in decimal and American formats, and the season standings.

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NFL· NFL Week 5, 2026

NFL Week 5 games and picks

15 NFL games this week. 4 analyses are published in full for everyone. The remaining 11 are exclusive to PRIME VIP members.

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NFL· Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, Odds and Picks

Main Prediction
Over 42.5 Points
Odds1.60 (-167)

Game analysis

Chicago's offense has started to show meaningful progress. The Bears recently generated 492 total yards and 34 first downs, with Kyle Monangai producing 146 rushing yards. That matters because it shows an offense capable of creating scoring opportunities without depending exclusively on quarterback production.

Tyson Bagent is expected to start against Green Bay, which adds uncertainty, but he enters an offense whose running game has become increasingly productive. Green Bay has enough offensive quality through Jordan Love to contribute heavily to the total, with Love already above 1,000 passing yards and eight touchdown passes.

At 42.5, the line does not demand an extreme shootout. Scores such as 24-20 or 27-17 are enough, and the recent improvement of Chicago's offense makes that threshold more attainable.

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NFL· Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots Prediction, Odds and Picks

Main Prediction
New England Patriots to Win
Odds1.57 (-175)

Game analysis

New England's recent performances deserve more weight than its overall record. The Patriots have shown tangible improvement and recently produced an important 29-26 victory over Buffalo, evidence that they can execute against high-level opposition.

There are still weaknesses, particularly turnovers, but the offense has become more competitive and the defense has been able to keep games within reach. Playing in Foxborough adds another advantage against a Raiders team that started well but has shown it can be pressured when opponents prevent it from controlling the game.

Las Vegas has enough offensive quality to make this close, so the selection is not based on a large statistical gap. It is based on New England's upward trajectory, home field and the level recently demonstrated against Buffalo.

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NFL· Sun, Oct 11 · 4:05 PM ET · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction, Odds and Picks

Main Prediction
Los Angeles Chargers +4.5
Odds1.69 (-145)

Game analysis

The Chargers' record is poor, but the +4.5 line changes the evaluation significantly. Los Angeles does not need to win; it can lose by a field goal and still cover.

Denver has produced the better early results, but divisional games frequently compress margins, particularly when the underdog plays at home. The Chargers have also shown stretches of improved execution even when those stretches have not yet produced victories.

The key is avoiding turnovers and preventing Denver from creating an early two-score advantage. If Los Angeles keeps the game within one possession, the additional 4.5 points become valuable protection.

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NFL· Mon, Oct 12 · 8:15 PM ET · SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams Prediction, Odds and Picks

Main Prediction
Los Angeles Rams to Win
Odds1.67 (-149)

Game analysis

Buffalo has started strongly and remains one of the NFL's highest-scoring offenses, so backing Los Angeles requires more than simply relying on home field. The Rams' argument comes from their ability to move the football: despite inconsistent results, their offense has generated yardage at one of the better rates in the league.

Los Angeles now needs to convert that production into points while reducing turnovers. Matthew Stafford's interceptions have been costly, but the underlying ability to create long drives means the offense has room to improve without requiring a dramatic tactical change.

Buffalo remains the major threat because Josh Allen can punish mistakes immediately. This is consequently a higher-risk moneyline, but the Rams' offensive volume, home field and potential for improved turnover efficiency provide a path to the upset.

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NFL· Thu, Oct 8 · 8:15 PM ET · AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Odds and Picks

Dallas enters on a clear offensive upswing after a comeback win over Houston, against a Tampa Bay team facing uncertainty at quarterback. Unlock PRIME VIP for the prediction, the odds and the full analysis.

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NFL· Sun, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET · State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ

Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction, Odds and Picks

Detroit's offensive production and pass rush meet an Arizona team that has lost a key offensive-line starter for the season. Unlock PRIME VIP for the prediction, the odds and the full analysis.

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NFL· Sun, Oct 11 · 9:30 AM ET · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, UK

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction, Odds and Picks

Jacksonville's turnover differential and defensive production have been among the league's best this season, against a less consistent Philadelphia offense. Unlock PRIME VIP for the prediction and the full analysis.

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NFL· Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Odds and Picks

Cincinnati's offensive ceiling remains higher than Miami's current level despite recent defeats. Unlock PRIME VIP for the prediction and the full analysis.

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NFL· Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, Odds and Picks

Minnesota's defensive indicators, including 16 sacks and a strong turnover differential, travel well against a resilient but turnover-prone New Orleans side. Unlock PRIME VIP for the prediction and the full analysis.

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NFL· Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets Prediction, Odds and Picks

A low total with two defenses generating pressure, but enough recent offensive improvement on both sides to clear a modest threshold. Unlock PRIME VIP for the prediction and the full analysis.

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NFL· Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Odds and Picks

An improving Indianapolis team meets a Pittsburgh side leaning on home field and defensive pressure. Unlock PRIME VIP for the prediction and the full analysis.

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NFL· Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Prediction, Odds and Picks

Houston's underlying talent against a Tennessee offense that has struggled to turn possessions into points. Unlock PRIME VIP for the prediction and the full analysis.

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NFL· Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET · Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders Prediction, Odds and Picks

Washington's home field and personnel against a New York team that has started the season better. Unlock PRIME VIP for the prediction and the full analysis.

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NFL· Sun, Oct 11 · 4:25 PM ET · Lumen Field, Seattle, WA

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction, Odds and Picks

San Francisco's unbeaten, highly efficient start against a Seattle defense generating pressure and turnovers of its own. Unlock PRIME VIP for the prediction and the full analysis.

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NFL· Sun, Oct 11 · 8:20 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, Odds and Picks

Baltimore's uncertainty around Lamar Jackson's availability against an Atlanta team leaning on a highly productive ground game. Unlock PRIME VIP for the prediction and the full analysis.

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NFL Week 5 Matchups

NFL Standings

Follow the 2026 NFL standings across every AFC and NFC division, including team records, scoring differential and official playoff position when available.

Last updated

● Division Leader● Wild Card● In the Hunt● Eliminated

AFC — NFL Standings

AFC East — NFL Standings

#TeamWLTPCTPFPADIFFSTRK
—Buffalo BillsPlayoff PositionPF — · PA — · 0310.750——0—
—Miami DolphinsPF — · PA — · 0050.000——0—
—New England PatriotsWild CardPF — · PA — · 0320.600——0—
—New York JetsPF — · PA — · 0230.400——0—

AFC North — NFL Standings

#TeamWLTPCTPFPADIFFSTRK
—Baltimore RavensPlayoff PositionPF — · PA — · 0410.800——0—
—Cincinnati BengalsPF — · PA — · 0320.600——0—
—Cleveland BrownsPF — · PA — · 0320.600——0—
—Pittsburgh SteelersPF — · PA — · 0320.600——0—

AFC South — NFL Standings

#TeamWLTPCTPFPADIFFSTRK
—Houston TexansPF — · PA — · 0140.200——0—
—Indianapolis ColtsPF — · PA — · 0230.400——0—
—Jacksonville JaguarsPlayoff PositionPF — · PA — · 0410.800——0—
—Tennessee TitansPF — · PA — · 0050.000——0—

AFC West — NFL Standings

#TeamWLTPCTPFPADIFFSTRK
—Denver BroncosWild CardPF — · PA — · 0320.600——0—
—Kansas City ChiefsPlayoff PositionPF — · PA — · 04001.000——0—
—Las Vegas RaidersWild CardPF — · PA — · 0320.600——0—
—Los Angeles ChargersPF — · PA — · 0050.000——0—