Belgium vs Türkiye Prediction, Odds and Betting tips

Belgium vs Türkiye Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Competition: UEFA Nations League 2026/27 — League A, Group 1, Matchday 3 · Date: 2026-10-02 · Kick-off: 20:45 local · Round: League A, Group 1, Matchday 3 · Venue/location: Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liège, Belgium

France lead Group A1 with six points after consecutive 1-0 wins. Belgium are second on three points after beating Italy 2-0 in Rome and then losing 1-0 at home to France. Italy also have three points after responding with a 4-1 win in Türkiye, while Türkiye are bottom on zero.

Belgium therefore have both a home opportunity and a direct table incentive. Türkiye have conceded five goals in two games and need a response after consecutive defeats.

Belgium's latest five-match form on FotMob is 0-1 vs France, 2-0 at Italy, 1-2 vs France, 4-1 vs Ecuador and 3-2 vs Algeria. That is 10 goals scored (2.00 per match) and 6 conceded (1.20), averaging 3.20 total goals.

Türkiye's current five-match list is 1-4 vs Italy, 0-1 vs France, 3-2 vs Japan, 0-1 vs Ukraine and 0-2 vs USA. They scored 4 (0.80 per match) and conceded 10 (2.00 per match).

In the Nations League, Belgium average 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded; Türkiye average 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded.

Team news, availability and projected lineups

Belgium: Senne Lammens; Timothy Castagne, Nathan Ngoy, Brandon Mechele, Maxim De Cuyper; Nicolas Raskin; Diego Moreira, Kevin De Bruyne, Youri Tielemans, Mika Godts; Charles De Ketelaere/Romelu Lukaku.

Türkiye: Uğurcan Çakır; Zeki Çelik, Merih Demiral, Abdülkerim Bardakcı; Oğuz Aydın, İsmail Yüksek, Salih Özcan, Ferdi Kadıoğlu; Arda Güler, Can Uzun; Barış Alper Yılmaz.

For Belgium vs Türkiye, the XI above is a pre-match projection built from the latest squad and competitive-start information available in the cited sources. Any official starting lineup released before kickoff should take precedence.

Belgium's current match page lists Mike Penders and Leandro Trossard unavailable. Earlier window reports also contained concerns around Jérémy Doku and Amadou Onana, so final federation updates should be checked before publication.

Türkiye are without Orkun Kökçü and goalkeeper Muhammed Şengezer in the current FotMob preview; other recent injury listings have included Kenan Yıldız and Çağlar Söyüncü. The projected XI uses the most recent available competitive structure rather than assuming every earlier status remains unchanged.

Head-to-head

The recent FotMob H2H is unexpectedly favourable to Türkiye: two Turkish wins and one draw from the three listed meetings, including 3-2 in 2010 and 2-0 at EURO 2000. Those matches are old, however, and Belgium's current home form and Türkiye's two opening defeats are more relevant to this 2026 fixture.

Match analysis, tactics and expected game state

Belgium's strongest advantage is central control. De Bruyne and Tielemans can move the ball through Türkiye's first pressure line, while Moreira and Godts stretch the back five. If Lukaku starts, Belgium also gain a direct penalty-box reference; if De Ketelaere leads the line, the attack becomes more fluid between the lines.

Türkiye still have quality through Arda Güler and Can Uzun, but the loss of Kökçü reduces their ability to control long possession phases. Conceding four to Italy after losing 1-0 to France also puts pressure on the defensive structure.

A straight Belgium win does not require a margin. The home side can satisfy the selection with a controlled 1-0 or 2-1 result, which matters given that Belgium themselves have just been held scoreless by France.

Statistical coverage is partial. A complete comparable current-cycle HOME sample for Belgium and AWAY sample for Türkiye was not available from the cited material. The missing xG, xGA, shots, shots on target, possession and corner metrics remain unavailable rather than being estimated, and the projected lineups above are not treated as confirmed teamsheets.

Market price and value

Conclusion