Match Analysis

Bolivia vs Paraguay Prediction & Match Analysis

Published: September 25, 2026Updated: September 26, 2026Analysis by Iwysson NascimentoOur methodology

Bolivia vs Paraguay meet in International Friendlies. This preview explains the match evidence and main risks; the prediction and published odds are shown directly on the page.

Match Context

Competition: International Friendlies
Round: International Friendly
Date: 2026-09-27
Local time: 17:30
Venue: Audi Field

Sources: Paraguayan Football Association — official match and squad reporting; Paraguayan Football Association — official match and squad reporting; Audi Field — official event announcement

Bolivia vs Paraguay Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Prediction: Paraguay to Win Odds: 1.57

Competition: International Friendly · Date: 2026-09-27 · Kick-off: 17:30 local · Round: International Friendly · Venue/location: Audi Field, Washington, D.C.

The APF match center lists Bolivia vs Paraguay at Audi Field in Washington. The Paraguayan federation confirms this as the Albirroja's first match after a World Cup campaign that reached the round of 16.

Paraguay eliminated Germany on penalties after a 1-1 draw before losing to France in the round of 16. Gustavo Alfaro has selected a 28-player group for the post-World Cup friendlies, retaining Gustavo Gómez, Omar Alderete, Andrés Cubas, Diego Gómez, Miguel Almirón and Julio Enciso. The continuity gives Paraguay a stronger current reference point than an ordinary experimental friendly.

Team news, availability and projected lineups

Paraguay (projected 4-2-3-1/4-3-3): Orlando Gill; Juan Cáceres, Gustavo Gómez, Omar Alderete, Junior Alonso; Andrés Cubas, Diego Gómez; Miguel Almirón, Julio Enciso, Ramón Sosa; Antonio Sanabria. Hugo Cuenca is a new senior-squad option, while Alfaro also has Matías Galarza, Alex Arce and Robert Morales available.

Bolivia (projected 4-2-3-1): goalkeeper from the current squad; compact back four; central midfield designed to protect transitions; three supporting attackers around the centre-forward.

Match analysis, tactics and H2H

The most recent World Cup qualifying meeting in Bolivia finished 2-2, according to the Paraguayan federation's own preview. Neutral territory changes the usual altitude/home-field dynamic that makes this South American matchup distinctive.

Paraguay to Win at 1.57 requires only the match result. Their deeper recent tournament run, defensive structure and ability to compete with high-level opposition support the selection. Bolivia's counterattacking threat and familiarity with Paraguay remain the main reasons not to add a handicap.

Statistical coverage is partial. A complete comparable current-cycle HOME sample for Bolivia and AWAY sample for Paraguay was not available from the cited material. The missing xG, xGA, shots, shots on target, possession and corner metrics remain unavailable rather than being estimated, and the projected lineups are not treated as confirmed teamsheets.

Market price and value

Price conversion: 1 / 1.57 = 63.7% raw implied probability before bookmaker margin.

Paraguay must win in Washington, so neither territorial control nor a draw returns value on the straight result. The neutral-site setting reduces the usual Bolivia home-altitude variable, but it also prevents the market from being treated like a conventional Paraguay home fixture. This is a market-price assessment rather than a claim that the implied percentage is a historical frequency or an independent forecast.

Conclusion

For this International Friendly fixture, the retained call is Paraguay to Win at 1.57. Its success still depends on the specific game-state and personnel risks identified for Bolivia and Paraguay; the supplied market and price are unchanged.