Lithuania vs Andorra Prediction, Odds and Betting tips

Lithuania vs Andorra Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Competition: International Friendly · Date: 2026-09-30 · Kick-off: 19:00 local · Round: International Friendly · Venue/location: S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno Stadium, Kaunas, Lithuania

Lithuania host Andorra in Kaunas during a gap in the UEFA Nations League D schedule. Lithuania enter from a 1-1 draw with Azerbaijan after beating Liechtenstein 2-0, while Andorra drew 0-0 away to Gibraltar after losing 2-1 to Malta.

Lithuania currently lead their Nations League D group with four points from two games. Andorra's early League D campaign has one point from two. The friendly therefore comes between competitive fixtures for both teams and could involve some rotation.

Lithuania's recent five-match sequence used here is a 1-1 draw with Azerbaijan, a 2-0 win over Liechtenstein, a 1-0 loss to Estonia, a 2-1 draw/result after regulation against Latvia in the Baltic Cup, and a 0-2 loss to Georgia. Four of those five produced at least two total goals when the regulation score is used.

Andorra's latest sequence includes 0-0 at Gibraltar, 1-2 against Malta, 0-3 against Kosovo, 2-0 over Liechtenstein and 0-1 against Iraq. Three of those five reached Over 1.5.

Team news, availability and projected lineups

Lithuania: Edvinas Gertmonas; Pijus Širvys, Artemijus Tutyškinas, Edgaras Utkus, Vilius Armalas; Modestas Vorobjovas, Gvidas Gineitis, Justas Lasickas; Paulius Golubickas/Gratas Sirgėdas, Fedor Černych, Armandas Kučys.

Andorra: Iker Álvarez/Ruiz; Moisés San Nicolás, Max Llovera, Christian García/Borra, Marc García; Marc Rebés, Éric Vales/Izquierdo, Joan Cervós; Jordi Aláez, Cucu, Albert Rosas.

Lithuania's projection is anchored to the current federation squad and recent Nations League XI; Andorra's reflects their latest League D structure. Rotation is plausible because both teams are between competitive fixtures.

Lithuania's federation lists the current senior squad and confirms the 30 September fixture in Kaunas. Andorra played Gibraltar only three days earlier, so rotation is plausible. No fresh injury is treated as confirmed without an official federation update.

Head-to-head

Lithuania and Andorra have met twice in senior friendlies. Lithuania won 4-0 in 1998 and 3-1 in 2009. Both meetings comfortably cleared Over 1.5, giving Lithuania an 7-1 aggregate advantage across the small historical sample.

Match analysis, tactics and expected game state

Across the two five-match form samples cited above, seven of the ten matches reached at least two total goals: four of Lithuania's five and three of Andorra's five. Both recorded senior H2Hs also cleared the 1.5 line, so the current selection is supported by both recent totals and the small direct series.

Lithuania should have the territorial advantage at home and can create from wide deliveries as well as Gineitis' progression through midfield. Andorra are likely to defend compactly, but they scored against Malta and have enough set-piece threat to contribute themselves.

The line only requires two goals. Lithuania's recent 2-0 win over Liechtenstein, the 1-1 draw with Azerbaijan and both historical meetings with Andorra provide several paths. A 1-1 draw or any Lithuania win by two goals is enough.

Statistical coverage is partial. A complete comparable current-cycle HOME sample for Lithuania and AWAY sample for Andorra was not available from the cited material. The missing xG, xGA, shots, shots on target, possession and corner metrics remain unavailable rather than being estimated, and the projected lineups above are not treated as confirmed teamsheets.

Market price and value

Conclusion