Mirassol vs Botafogo Prediction, Odds and Betting tips
Published: September 15, 2026Our methodology
Mirassol vs Botafogo meet in Brasileirão Série A. Review the match analysis and relevant team context; the prediction and published odds are shown directly on the page.
Match Context
- Competition
- Brasileirão Série A
- Round
- Round 28
- Date
- 2026-09-19
- Local time
- 17:00
- Venue
- Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Sources: CBF — official site; FotMob
Mirassol vs Botafogo Prediction, Odds and Match Analysis
Probable lineups, injuries and suspensions
Mirassol: Walter (doubt); João Victor, Gabriel Knesowitsch, Willian Machado; Igor Formiga, Gustavo Cazonatti, Denilson, Reinaldo; Carlos Eduardo, André Luís, Fernandinho.
Botafogo: Gabriel Batista; Vitinho, Nahuel Ferraresi, Lucas Monzón, Alex Telles; Huguinho, Danilo; Júnior Santos, Álvaro Montoro, Cristian Medina; Danilo Pereira.
Mirassol's current feed lists Walter, Edson Carioca, José Aldo and Negueba unavailable. Botafogo's fixture feed lists Alex Telles, Paulinho, Jordan Barrera and Kaio unavailable, so Alex Telles' status must be checked again after the postponed Grêmio match.
Match analysis
Mirassol are in the lower part of the table and had 29 goals scored with 40 conceded after 26 matches in the latest official snapshot. Botafogo were similarly vulnerable, with 37 scored and 40 conceded after 25 in that same CBF update. That gives the total a season-long basis, but 1.95 is a demanding price because three goals are still required. Botafogo's recent 1–1 with Bragantino shows how their matches can stall despite defensive spaces, while Mirassol's home setting offers a better chance of both sides contributing than a one-sided Botafogo game.
Head-to-head
The current FotMob record has Botafogo with one win and two draws from three meetings with Mirassol. The sample is small, so it is secondary to the teams' 2026 defensive numbers.
Probability of the prediction
For Mirassol–Botafogo, Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 has a raw implied probability of 51.3% before bookmaker margin. Odds of 1.95 imply 51.3%. Both teams' season goals-against totals create a reasonable three-goal route, but the recent Botafogo 1–1 keeps the estimate measured at 52.8%.
Conclusion
This bet benefits most from an early goal because both teams have defensive records that can open the match once one side has to chase. A cautious first half followed by long spells at 0–0 or 1–0 is the clearest threat.
Final prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — odds 1.95.
Sources
CBF official Brasileirão schedule and table for Mirassol–Botafogo; FotMob/current Série A feeds for form, availability and H2H; GE/Cartola and Starting11 for team news and probable lineups. Corner-specific databases were used only where the published selection contains a corner threshold.
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