Republic of Ireland vs Israel Prediction, Odds and Betting tips

Republic of Ireland vs Israel Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Competition: UEFA Nations League 2026/27 — League B, Group 3, Matchday 4 · Date: 2026-10-04 · Kick-off: 20:45 local · Round: League B, Group 3, Matchday 4 · Venue/location: TSC Arena, Bačka Topola, Serbia — neutral venue

This is the immediate rematch of Ireland's 3-0 win over Israel in Debrecen on 27 September. After two rounds Austria lead Group B3 with six points; Kosovo and Ireland have three each, while Israel have zero. Ireland have scored three and conceded one; Israel have scored one and conceded six.

The return fixture is officially an Ireland home game but UEFA list TSC Arena in Bačka Topola, Serbia, as the venue. Before this match Ireland host Austria and Israel face Kosovo on 1 October, so the standings and availability must be refreshed after Matchday 3.

Ireland's two Nations League games have produced a 1-0 loss in Kosovo and a 3-0 win over Israel: 1.50 goals scored, 0.50 conceded and 2.00 total goals per match.

Israel lost 3-1 in Austria and 3-0 to Ireland: 0.50 scored, 3.00 conceded and 3.50 total goals per match. Their broader current five-match sequence is 0-3, 1-3, 1-0, 2-2 and 4-1, which contains four matches with at least two total goals.

The first direct meeting therefore satisfies both legs of the supplied combination: Ireland avoided defeat and the game produced three goals.

Team news, availability and projected lineups

Republic of Ireland: Caoimhín Kelleher; Jake O'Brien, Dara O'Shea, Liam Kitching; James Abankwah, Conor Coventry, Jayson Molumby, Ryan Manning; Jack Moylan, Adam Idah, Troy Parrott.

Israel: Daniel Peretz; Guy Mizrahi, Raz Shlomo, Nikita Stoinov, Roy Revivo; Anan Khalaili, Gabi Kanichowsky, Eliel Peretz, Manor Solomon; Dor Turgeman, Oscar Gloukh.

For Republic of Ireland vs Israel, the projected XI is based on the latest competitive lineups, current squad information and the cited pre-match sources. Any official starting lineup released before kickoff should take precedence.

Gavin Bazunu withdrew from the current Ireland squad and was not part of the 3-0 win in Debrecen. Kelleher is therefore the leading goalkeeper reference for this article. Ireland's Matchday 3 game against Austria can still create new injury or suspension issues.

Israel's current FotMob preview for the Kosovo match lists Omri Gandelman unavailable. Because Israel also play on 1 October, their final XI and status list must be rechecked before this Matchday 4 article is published.

Head-to-head

UEFA's current head-to-head page gives Ireland two wins, Israel one and three draws, with Ireland ahead 11-6 on goals. The latest meeting is by far the most relevant: Ireland won 3-0 on 27 September with all three goals coming in the first half.

Match analysis, tactics and expected game state

The 1X component is supported by the immediate direct evidence. Ireland's press disrupted Israel early in Debrecen, and Parrott, Idah and Moylan all found space before halftime. The neutral venue removes a true Dublin home advantage but does not erase the tactical matchup.

The Over 1.5 leg needs at least two goals. Israel's two group games have produced four and three total goals, while the first Ireland-Israel meeting ended 3-0. Israel are also likely to need a more proactive approach if they enter Matchday 4 still at the bottom.

A 1-1 draw already satisfies the combination, as do 2-0, 2-1 or any wider Ireland result. The only mandatory editorial condition is a post-1 October refresh, because both sides play Matchday 3 before this fixture.

Statistical coverage is partial. A complete comparable current-cycle HOME sample for Republic of Ireland and AWAY sample for Israel was not available from the cited material. The missing xG, xGA, shots, shots on target, possession and corner metrics remain unavailable rather than being estimated, and the projected lineups above are not treated as confirmed teamsheets.

Market price and value

Conclusion