São Paulo vs Vasco Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
Published: 14 October 2026 · Updated: 17 October 2026
São Paulo's home form meets a Vasco side that has drawn more away games than it has won. Full prediction, odds and analysis are available with PRIME VIP.
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São Paulo vs Vasco: match context
Facts and data published for every reader. The prediction, the odds and the full analysis are reserved for PRIME VIP.
Team news and availability
Team news is as of 14 October 2026, three days before kick-off, so every lineup below is PROJECTED until the official team sheets appear about an hour before the game. Calleri felt thigh discomfort after scoring twice against Vitória and has been working on an adapted program, making his starting status one of the key pre-match checks. Vasco recently travelled without Cuesta, Spinelli and Rojas, while Bruno Duarte returned after a rib problem and is again part of the attacking rotation.
PROJECTED setup: Vasco's latest continental XI used Léo Jardim; Paulo Henrique, Saldivia, Robert Renan, Cuiabano; Sosa, Thiago Mendes, Lescano; Adson, Bruno Duarte and Andrés Gómez. São Paulo's attacking structure depends on Calleri's fitness; if he is not ready for 90 minutes, the front line will need a different reference point and more support from the attacking midfielders.
Statistical Core Predictions-Sports-Prime
Statistical coverage is partial. The table covers São Paulo's 15 home Brasileirão Série A games and Vasco's 14 away Brasileirão Série A games of 2026, computed from completed results and checked against the league table. Samples of this size describe a handful of matches rather than a settled trend. Expected goals, shots, possession and corner data were not available from the sources used, so those target metrics are left out rather than estimated.
| Metric | São Paulo HOME | Vasco AWAY |
|---|---|---|
| Matches (N) | 15 | 14 |
| W-D-L | 9-3-3 | 2-5-7 |
| Points/game | 2.00 | 0.79 |
| GF/game | 1.60 | 1.07 |
| GA/game | 0.87 | 1.71 |
| BTTS | 60% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 7% |
| Failed to score | 7% | 29% |
Sources
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