Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction, Odds and Betting tips

Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Competition: 2027 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying · Group: H · Round: Matchday 1 · Date: 24 September 2026 · Kick-off: 19:00 GMT · Venue: Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi, Radès

Team News, Call-Ups and Availability

Mouine Chaâbani took over in July after Tunisia lost all three group matches at the World Cup and has begun rebuilding, recalling Ferjani Sassi, Aïssa Laïdouni and Ali Maâloul. Uganda are already qualified for the finals as co-hosts, but Paul Put's preparation was disrupted: he said his side was "not complete" because of injuries, illness and late arrivals, although all 26 players were in camp by Wednesday. His squad of 28 features Denis Onyango, Toby Sibbick, Nathan Asiimwe, Travis Mutyaba, Denis Omedi and Steven Mukwala. Reports of further Tunisian absences were not confirmed in the sources checked here, so none are stated.

Projected Lineups

Projected lineups, not confirmed: neither eleven is available. Tunisia's midfield should be a blend of Sassi and Laïdouni's experience with newer selections, while Uganda are expected to lean on Onyango, Sibbick and the attacking pairing of Omedi and Mukwala. Official team sheets should supersede it.

Head-to-Head and Match Analysis

The strongest fact here is historical: Uganda have never beaten Tunisia in seven meetings, and the most recent, at the last Africa Cup of Nations, ended 3-1 to Tunisia. Tunisia are also unbeaten in their last seven home matches (W6 D1), scoring at least twice in each of those wins. On those numbers a straight home win is a straightforward call.

The counterweight is Tunisia's own instability. The World Cup produced twelve goals conceded in three matches, the coach is new, and several senior players are back after a disruptive summer. Uganda have nothing to lose because their finals place is secured, and Put will try to keep a compact shape, hit long balls behind the Tunisian full-backs and press set-piece chances. That is a hard game plan to sustain for ninety minutes at Radès, where Tunisia's technical midfield should control possession, but it is the route by which Uganda could steal a draw. Group H also contains Libya and Botswana, and Tunisia know a dropped point here would be costly in a group with only one place available beyond the co-hosts.

Statistical coverage is partial. The H2H count varies slightly between sources (six to seven meetings, none won by Uganda), and no sourced 2027 home or away xG, shot or corner data exists for either team, so those rows are unavailable.

Market Price and Value

Conclusion

Tunisia's record against Uganda, their home run and the technical edge in midfield make them the clear favourite, although the World Cup collapse and a new coach justify a cautious price. A win by one or two goals is the likely outcome.

Sources

- CAF — AFCON PAMOJA 2027 MD1 & MD2 fixtures, kick-off times and venues: https://www.cafonline.com/afcon2025/news/totalenergies-caf-afcon-pamoja-2027-md-1-2-qualifiers-fixtures-kick-off-times-and-venues/ - AfricaSoccer — Tunisia vs Uganda preview: https://africasoccer.com/tunisia-vs-uganda-carthage-eagles-face-cranes-in-afcon-2027-qualifier-opener/ - Kawowo — Paul Put faces AFCON 2027 qualifiers amid injury crisis: https://kawowo.com/2026/09/22/we-are-not-complete-paul-put-faces-afcon-2027-qualifiers-amid-injury-crisis-and-tight-turnarounds/ - Kawowo — Everyone in camp: Uganda Cranes complete squad in Tunisia: https://kawowo.com/2026/09/23/everyone-in-camp-uganda-cranes-complete-squad-in-tunisia-ahead-of-afcon-qualifier/