Brasileirão Série ARound 28
Sep 19, 2026 · 20:30League local timeSão Januário
VASVasco da Gama
VS
Coritiba
Match Analysis

Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba Prediction, Odds and Betting tips

Published: September 15, 2026Our methodology

Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba meet in Brasileirão Série A. Review the match analysis and relevant team context; the prediction and published odds are shown directly on the page.

Match Context

Competition
Brasileirão Série A
Round
Round 28
Date
2026-09-19
Local time
20:30
Venue
São Januário

Sources: CBF — official site; FotMob

Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba Prediction, Odds and Match Analysis

Probable lineups, injuries and suspensions

Vasco da Gama: Léo Jardim; Paulo Henrique, Carlos Cuesta, Robert Renan, Lucas Piton; Santiago Sosa, Thiago Mendes, Tchê Tchê; Adson, Colidio, Andrés Gómez.

Coritiba: Pedro Morisco; JP Chermont, Rodrigo Moledo, Jacy, Bruno Melo; Thiago Santos, Sebastián Gómez; Lavega, Josué, Breno Lopes; Pedro Rocha.

Vasco's current feed lists Brenner injured. Coritiba have Breno Lopes and Jacy suspended, with Tinga, Brian Ocampo, Lucas Ronier and Pedro Rangel injured. The projected Coritiba XI therefore requires replacements for the suspended players.

Match analysis

Coritiba's recent league sequence is highly relevant to a three-goal market: 3–3 with Athletico, 1–2 against Mirassol, 3–2 away at Remo and 2–1 against Corinthians before a 1–1 at São Paulo. Vasco's recent results are less consistently open, but the 3–1 win over Cruzeiro demonstrates enough home scoring ceiling. The tension in the bet is that Vasco also have recent 1–0 and 2–0 wins, so a strong home performance does not automatically mean three total goals.

Head-to-head

FotMob's current H2H record shows Vasco with seven wins, Coritiba five and seven draws. The broad historical balance is less important than Coritiba's current high-event run.

Probability of the prediction

For Vasco da Gama–Coritiba, Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.88 has a raw implied probability of 53.2% before bookmaker margin. Odds of 1.88 imply 53.2%. Coritiba's recent scorelines lift the total, while Vasco's ability to win without conceding keeps it from being a high-confidence over. Editorial estimate: 55.0%.

Conclusion

Coritiba's recent matches provide the best evidence for three goals, but Vasco's home control can also turn this into a 2–0 rather than an exchange. A Coritiba goal would substantially improve the selection.

Final prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — odds 1.88.

Sources

CBF official Brasileirão schedule and table for Vasco da Gama–Coritiba; FotMob/current Série A feeds for form, availability and H2H; GE/Cartola and Starting11 for team news and probable lineups. Corner-specific databases were used only where the published selection contains a corner threshold.

Sources & Data

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