Main prediction
Patriots +3.5
- Published odds
- 1.70
- Odds source
- Author supplied · bookmaker not provided
Match information
- Competition
- NFL 2026 · Week 3
- Date
- 2026-09-27
- Kickoff
- 1:00 PM EDT
- Venue
- EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
- Records
- Patriots 1-1; Jaguars 1-1
Team news and projected personnel
Projected personnel, not confirmed lineups. Sunday and Monday final game designations were not available at the verified update time.
New England Patriots
Projected offense
- QB: Drake Maye
- RB: Rhamondre Stevenson
- WR: Romeo Doubs
Projected defense
- CB: Carlton Davis III
Jacksonville Jaguars
Projected offense
- QB: Lawrence
- RB: Bhayshul Tuten
- WR: Brian Thomas Jr.
- WR: Jakobi Meyers (limited)
Injuries and availability
Match analysis
New England answered its opening defeat with a 20-3 road win in Pittsburgh, but the larger two-game picture is mixed: the Patriots average 15.0 points, Drake Maye has four interceptions and the offense owns a -3 turnover differential. Jacksonville also sits 1-1, yet its four passing touchdowns, two defensive interceptions and +2 turnover margin show a cleaner early balance. The Jaguars followed a 34-10 win over Cleveland with a 20-13 defeat in Denver.
The official Wednesday report carried no final game designations. New England had DaQuan Jones, Dre'Mont Jones, Quintayvious Hutchins and Craig Woodson as non-participants, while tackles Morgan Moses and Dametrious Crownover were limited. Jacksonville listed center Robert Hainsey, tackle Cole Van Lanen, receiver Jakobi Meyers, DaVon Hamilton and LeQuint Allen Jr. as limited. Those are practice statuses, not confirmed absences, so the projected personnel keeps every undesignated player conditional.
The case for Patriots +3.5 rests on pass rush and margin protection rather than superior offensive form. New England already has six sacks and can cover with a three-point defeat, while Maye's movement offers an escape valve if Jacksonville wins isolated protection matchups. Jacksonville's 23.5 points per game and +2 turnover differential are real dangers to the underdog, especially if Brian Thomas Jr. and Jakobi Meyers force New England's secondary to defend the full width of the field.
Sources
- NFL Week 3 scheduleFixture identity, date, kickoff and home/away · accessed September 24, 2026
- NFL Week 3 injury reportPractice participation and available game designations · accessed September 24, 2026
- NFL Game CenterRecords, team leaders, early-season statistics, venue and injuries · accessed September 24, 2026
Final prediction
Prediction: Patriots +3.5
Published odds: 1.70