Mexico vs Colombia Prediction, Odds and Betting tips

Mexico vs Colombia Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips

Competition: International Friendly · Date: 2026-09-26 · Kick-off: 21:00 ET · Round: International Friendly · Venue/location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore

Mexico and Colombia meet on September 26 at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, with kickoff at 9:00 p.m. ET. The fixture begins a new cycle for Mexico and is Rafael Márquez's first match as senior national-team head coach. Mexico are therefore moving from their 2026 World Cup campaign into a window built around both continuity and evaluation.

Márquez initially selected 30 players. Compared with Mexico's World Cup squad, Raúl Jiménez and Julián Quiñones are absent through injury, while Edson Álvarez is also outside this call-up. Carlos Acevedo, Guillermo Ochoa, Brian Gutiérrez, César Huerta, Alexis Vega and Guillermo Martínez are other World Cup names not in this group. Hirving Lozano returns, while Alex Padilla, Óscar García, Everardo López, Diego Campillo, Víctor Guzmán, Jeremy Márquez, Denzell García, Santiago Sandoval, Hugo Camberos and Isaías Violante are among the alternatives in the new cycle.

There has already been a further change. Alan Cervantes withdrew with muscular discomfort and will miss the window. Mexico announced that Isaías Violante would join the group immediately rather than later under the original club-release arrangement. Cervantes therefore should not appear in the projected XI against Colombia.

Current Mexico call-up: Goalkeepers — Raúl Rangel, Óscar García, Alex Padilla. Defenders — Johan Vásquez, César Montes, Jorge Sánchez, Jesús Gallardo, Víctor Guzmán, Israel Reyes, Everardo López, Mateo Chávez, Diego Campillo. Midfielders — Luis Chávez, Orbelín Pineda, Erik Lira, Álvaro Fidalgo, Obed Vargas, Jeremy Márquez, Denzell García, Santiago Sandoval, Luis Romo, Gilberto Mora, Isaías Violante. Forwards — Santiago Giménez, Armando González, Roberto Alvarado, Hugo Camberos, Hirving Lozano, Germán Berterame. Alan Cervantes is out.

A probable Mexico XI is Raúl Rangel; Jorge Sánchez, César Montes, Johan Vásquez, Mateo Chávez; Erik Lira, Luis Chávez; Roberto Alvarado, Orbelín Pineda, Hirving Lozano; Santiago Giménez. The official team sheet has not yet been released. Márquez has a large first-camp group and some Liga MX players were subject to staggered release arrangements.

Colombia's turnover from the World Cup is also extensive. Néstor Lorenzo's 26-player September-October group does not include Camilo Vargas, David Ospina, Yerry Mina, Willer Ditta, Santiago Arias, Johan Mojica, Deiver Machado, Jefferson Lerma, Juan Camilo Portilla, Jorge Carrascal, Juan Fernando Quintero, James Rodríguez, Luis Díaz, Juan Camilo Hernández or Jhon Córdoba. The retained World Cup core includes Álvaro Montero, Dávinson Sánchez, Jhon Lucumí, Daniel Muñoz, Richard Ríos, Kevin Castaño, Gustavo Puerta, Jhon Arias, Jaminton Campaz, Luis Suárez and Carlos Andrés Gómez.

The new group creates opportunities for Aldair Quintana, Álvaro Angulo, Camilo Durán, Daniel Arcila, Édier Ocampo, Jhon Solís, Juan Manuel Rengifo, Kevin Andrade, Kevin Mier, Kevin Viveros, Matías Orozco, Óscar Perea, Royer Caicedo, Samuel Velásquez and Yáser Asprilla. This is therefore a genuine transition window rather than the World Cup squad simply reconvening.

Current Colombia call-up: Aldair Quintana, Álvaro Angulo, Álvaro Montero, Camilo Durán, Carlos Andrés Gómez, Daniel Arcila, Daniel Muñoz, Dávinson Sánchez, Édier Ocampo, Gustavo Puerta, Jaminton Campaz, Jhon Arias, Jhon Lucumí, Jhon Solís, Juan Manuel Rengifo, Kevin Andrade, Kevin Castaño, Kevin Mier, Kevin Viveros, Luis Suárez, Matías Orozco, Óscar Perea, Richard Ríos, Royer Caicedo, Samuel Velásquez, Yáser Asprilla.

A probable Colombia XI is Kevin Mier; Daniel Muñoz, Dávinson Sánchez, Jhon Lucumí, Álvaro Angulo; Kevin Castaño, Richard Ríos; Yáser Asprilla, Jhon Arias, Carlos Andrés Gómez; Luis Suárez. This remains expected rather than confirmed. The absence of James Rodríguez and Luis Díaz changes the creative and attacking reference points from the World Cup.

The match is shaped by transition on both sides. Mexico have a new coach, a reshaped squad and injury absences; Colombia retain several established starters but have left out a large part of the World Cup group. That can reduce automatisms, but it can also make the game more open as players compete for places in the next cycle.

Statistical coverage is partial: a complete 22/22 Statistical Core with comparable current-cycle HOME data for Mexico and AWAY data for Colombia, including xG, xGA, shots, shots on target, possession and corners, is unavailable in the cited material. Those metrics remain unavailable rather than being estimated.

Market price and value

Conclusion

Sources

- Mexico national team / FMF — September 2026 call-up - N+ — Rafael Márquez first Mexico squad - AS México — September 21 Alan Cervantes withdrawal - Concacaf/FIFA — Mexico 2026 World Cup roster - Federación Colombiana de Fútbol — September 17 squad - Federación Colombiana de Fútbol — May 25 World Cup squad - TelevisaUnivision — September 26 kickoff confirmation